| Overall | 12W 9L 0T |
| District | 4W 6L 0T |
| Expected | 13: 6+ 2- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
43 14 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
931 -403 Strength Momentum |
961 51.3(33) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/20/15 | at Grants | 0.000 | 588 | W 11- 1 | Expected (+7) | 1289 | 88% |  |
| 08/22/15 | at Moriarty | 0.000 | 981 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 1066 | 38% | |
| 08/25/15 | St. Pius | 0.000 | 1071 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 941 | 29% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Hope Christian | 0.001 | 1088 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-1) | 868 | 22% | |
| 09/03/15 | Sandia Prep | 0.001 | 1201 | W 4- 3 | Better (+3) | 1106 | 15% | |
| 09/08/15 | Highland !! | 0.001 | 917 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1271 | 55% | |
| 09/10/15 | Bosque | 0.005 | 1309 | W 3- 1 | Better (+6) | 1210 | 8% | |
| 09/12/15 | at Gallup | 0.000 | 579 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1284 | 90% | |
| 09/17/15 | Capital | 0.017 | 961 | W 4- 3 | Better (+1) | 986 | 48% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Del Norte ! | 0.002 | 798 | W 10- 1 | Expected (+8) | 1338 | 69% | |
| 09/22/15 | Centennial | 0.034 | 961 | L 2- 3 | Expected (-1) | 886 | 48% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Santa Teresa ? | 0.062 | 902 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 876 | 52% | |
| 09/29/15 | at Belen | 0.009 | 593 | W 10- 1 | Expected (+6) | 1236 | 90% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Chaparral | 0.121 | 972 | L 2- 5 | Expected (-2) | 811 | 39% | |
| 10/06/15 | at Valencia | 0.190 | 1075 | W 1- 0 | Better (+3) | 1063 | 24% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Centennial | 0.205 | 961 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-4) | 754 | 41% | |
| 10/13/15 | Santa Teresa ?? | 0.357 | 902 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 856 | 59% | |
| 10/17/15 | Belen | 0.416 | 593 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-1) | 903 | 92% | |
| 10/22/15 | Chaparral | 0.661 | 972 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 992 | 46% | |
| 10/24/15 | Valencia | 0.700 | 1075 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 943 | 29% | |
| 10/30/15 | at St. Pius | 0.842 | 1071 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 910 | 24% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Los Lunas actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 961, while
Los Lunas's "weighted playing strength" is 922
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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